FeaturedDec 22, 2025
What Caused the OM Crash? April 2025 Analysis

The MANTRA token collapse on April 13, 2025 ranks among crypto's most dramatic single-day events. OM plunged from $6.30 to $0.37 in roughly four hours, erasing over $5 billion in market capitalization and drawing immediate comparisons to Terra LUNA's 2022 implosion. Understanding exactly what happened, and who bears responsibility, matters for anyone trading distressed tokens or evaluating RWA projects.

The Timeline: Four Hours of Destruction

The crash began during Sunday evening hours in Asia, a period known for thin liquidity across crypto markets.

Pre-crash setup (April 10-12): On-chain analysts later identified 17 wallets that had deposited approximately 43.6 million OM tokens ($227 million) to centralized exchanges in the days before the collapse. This represented a significant portion of liquid supply positioning for potential sale.

Initial drop (April 13, ~7PM UTC): OM started sliding from $6.30 as large sell orders hit thin order books. Within the first hour, the token had fallen roughly 30%.

Liquidation cascade (8-10PM UTC): The initial decline triggered margin calls on leveraged positions. As collateral values dropped, exchanges began force-liquidating OM-backed positions. Each liquidation added selling pressure, driving prices lower and triggering more liquidations in a pattern familiar to anyone who understands futures trading dynamics.

Bottom (~11PM UTC): OM hit a low of $0.37, down over 90% from where it started the day. Over $50 million in OM futures positions had been liquidated. Trading volume spiked from a typical $70 million daily to nearly $700 million as panic selling dominated order books.

Dead cat bounce: By the following morning, OM had recovered to roughly $0.60, but remained 90%+ below its pre-crash levels.

Competing Narratives: Who's to Blame?

The crash sparked an immediate blame game between the MANTRA team and centralized exchanges.

The Official MANTRA Position

CEO John Patrick Mullin released a statement attributing the collapse to "reckless forced closures initiated by centralized exchanges on OM account holders." The team's investigation concluded that forced liquidations during low-volume trading hours were the primary cause.

Key claims from MANTRA:

  • No team or investor tokens were sold during the crash
  • All team allocations remained locked under vesting schedules
  • The project's protocol infrastructure had no vulnerabilities
  • Blame rested entirely on exchange risk management failures

The Exchange Response

OKX founder Star Xu fired back publicly, calling the incident "a big scandal to the whole crypto industry" and promising full transparency reports on OM-related trading activity. The exchange later accused the MANTRA team of borrowing "significant amounts of USDT" using OM as collateral to artificially inflate the token's price. When prices dipped, OKX's risk team allegedly froze accounts and liquidated holdings, triggering the cascade.

On-Chain Evidence

Independent analysts pointed to several concerning patterns:

The 17 wallets that deposited to exchanges before the crash showed coordination patterns suggesting common control. Critics alleged these represented team-affiliated addresses positioning for exit, though MANTRA denied this.

Supply concentration remained a major issue. By multiple estimates, the MANTRA team and early investors controlled roughly 90% of circulating tokens at the time of the crash. This concentration meant relatively small sell orders could have outsized price impact.

The timing of a 50 million OM airdrop in March 2025, combined with an upcoming April 18 unlock of 7.07 million tokens, created additional selling pressure expectations that may have encouraged frontrunning.

Structural Factors That Enabled the Crash

Beyond the immediate triggers, several structural vulnerabilities made OM susceptible to catastrophic decline.

Extreme Supply Concentration

MANTRA's tokenomics allocated 300 million OM (17% of supply) to team and core contributors, locked until April 2027 through October 2029. However, the remaining circulating supply was thin relative to the token's fully diluted valuation. When sellers showed up, there simply weren't enough buyers to absorb the pressure.

Leverage Amplification

Many OM holders had used their tokens as collateral for leveraged positions or USDT loans. This created a reflexive dynamic: falling prices reduced collateral values, forcing liquidations that drove prices lower still. Understanding margin and leverage mechanics helps explain why the decline accelerated so rapidly. The same leverage that amplified OM's gains during its 30,000% rise became equally destructive on the way down.

Low Liquidity Hours

Sunday evening in Asia represents one of the lowest liquidity periods in crypto markets. Traders selecting this window for large sales, whether opportunistically or maliciously, could achieve maximum price impact with minimum resistance.

Communication Breakdown

During the crash, MANTRA's Telegram channel was temporarily locked, preventing community members from receiving updates. This fueled panic and rug pull speculation, accelerating selling as holders rushed for exits without information.

LUNA Comparisons: Valid or Overblown?

Multiple observers compared OM's crash to Terra LUNA's May 2022 collapse, which wiped out $40+ billion across the Terra ecosystem.

Similarities:

  • Rapid, catastrophic percentage decline (90%+ in hours)
  • Cascading liquidations amplifying initial selling
  • Concentrated token holdings enabling manipulation
  • Community allegations of insider dumping

Key Differences:

  • OM's crash didn't involve algorithmic stablecoin de-pegging mechanics
  • MANTRA's underlying protocol remained functional
  • Market cap destruction was $5-6 billion versus Terra's $40+ billion
  • Team maintained communication (after initial delay) rather than disappearing

The comparison is emotionally resonant but technically imprecise. OM's crash reflects leverage-amplified selling in a concentrated, illiquid market. LUNA's collapse involved fundamental protocol failure. Both destroyed enormous value, but through different mechanisms.

Aftermath and Accountability

Eight months post-crash, resolution remains incomplete.

MANTRA's Response

The team launched a $25 million buyback program targeting 110 million OM (10% of circulating supply). CEO Mullin committed to burning his personal 772,000 token allocation. Governance reforms reduced internal validator control by 50% while onboarding 50+ external validators.

A transparency dashboard now tracks token movements, addressing one major criticism. The project continues developing its RWA tokenization infrastructure despite reputational damage.

Exchange Accountability

OKX promised transparency reports but the full exchange-side analysis hasn't fully materialized. Large OM investors reportedly pursued legal action against OKX for losses, though Mullin stated MANTRA itself has no ongoing litigation with the exchange.

Unresolved Questions

Several key questions remain unanswered: Were the 17 wallets that deposited pre-crash genuinely independent, or team-affiliated? Did OKX's liquidation mechanics function as intended, or represent unusual intervention? What portion of the April selling came from airdrop recipients versus longer-term holders?

Lessons for Traders

The OM crash offers several practical lessons for anyone trading high-volatility tokens.

Monitor supply concentration. When a small group controls most of circulating supply, crashes can happen faster than traditional indicators can signal. On-chain tools tracking whale wallets provide earlier warning than price charts alone.

Respect liquidity conditions. Weekend and off-hours trading carries amplified risk for leveraged positions. Thin order books transform normal volatility into liquidation cascades.

Size for worst-case scenarios. OM dropped 90% in hours. Position sizing that survives 90% drawdowns requires dramatically different allocation than strategies designed for 20-30% corrections.

Verify versus trust. MANTRA's transparency dashboard exists because the community demanded verifiable data after the crash. For any token with concentrated supply, independent verification of team claims matters more than official statements.

Current State and Outlook

OM now trades around $0.07, down 99% from its February 2025 all-time high of $8.99. The token has shown minimal recovery despite buyback activity and continued development.

For those interested in OM's recovery trajectory, our OM price prediction analysis covers potential scenarios and catalysts. The comparison article on MANTRA versus Chainlink provides context on how OM's infrastructure approach compares to alternatives in the RWA space.

The April 2025 crash will likely define MANTRA's reputation for years, regardless of future execution. Whether that reputation eventually shifts depends on whether the team can deliver on recovery promises while maintaining the transparency that only became standard after trust had already been destroyed.

Trade OM on LeveX spot markets or explore OM futures for leveraged positioning. Learn about managing risk in volatile markets through our stop-loss guide or explore more projects in our Crypto in a Minute series.

Dashboard
Wallet
Trade
Convert
Buy Crypto